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預測帳本
每日預測的指紋與雜湊鏈，以及各模型的版本世代切分。
每天的所有預測會算出一個指紋（root），再與前一天的鏈值串成新的鏈值。改動任何一天的舊預測，那天之後所有鏈值都會對不上。指紋只含賽前就固定的內容（預測比分、信心、鎖定時間、CLI 版本），不含最終比分。
目前鏈頭
e5ae51994220abf4fb788dd5176d1ce98bca66affe8d92f6077a41dc2dc371f5
2026-10-28 · 8 場
目前的限制：這條鏈存在本站自己的儲存空間，只能證明「內部一致」，還不能證明我們沒有整條重寫。要真正可由第三方驗證，鏈頭必須推到站外不可覆寫的地方（例如獨立的 Git commit）。每日鏈頭會寫入 GitHub 的 anchors/ 目錄（可公開查看），Git commit 自帶時間戳與雜湊，我們無法回頭偽造。錨點只寫一次、不覆寫。
模型世代
| 模型 | CLI 版本 | 期間 | 命中 | 命中率 | 95% 區間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT | 未紀錄 | 2026-07-27 ~ 2026-08-23 | 262/453 | 58% | 53%~62% |
| ChatGPT | codex-cli 0.145.0 | 2026-08-24 ~ 2026-10-26 | 485/894 | 54% | 51%~57% |
| Gemini | 未紀錄 | 2026-07-27 ~ 2026-08-23 | 226/420 | 54% | 49%~59% |
| Gemini | 1.1.19 | 2026-08-24 ~ 2026-08-25 | 9/16 | 56% | 33%~77% |
| Gemini | 1.1.20 | 2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 | 16/34 | 47% | 31%~63% |
| Gemini | 1.1.21 | 2026-08-26 ~ 2026-08-27 | 8/10 | 80% | 49%~94% |
| Gemini | 1.1.22 | 2026-08-27 ~ 2026-09-01 | 66/130 | 51% | 42%~59% |
| Gemini | 1.1.23 | 2026-09-02 ~ 2026-09-02 | 7/15 | 47% | 25%~70% |
| Gemini | 1.1.24 | 2026-09-03 ~ 2026-09-03 | 4/9 | 44% | 19%~73% |
| Gemini | 1.1.25 | 2026-09-03 ~ 2026-09-04 | 11/18 | 61% | 39%~80% |
| Gemini | 1.1.26 | 2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-05 | 19/35 | 54% | 38%~70% |
| Gemini | 1.1.27 | 2026-09-05 ~ 2026-09-09 | 48/85 | 56% | 46%~67% |
| Gemini | 1.1.28 | 2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 | 4/9 | 44% | 19%~73% |
| Gemini | 1.2.0 | 2026-09-10 ~ 2026-09-11 | 13/16 | 81% | 57%~93% |
| Gemini | 1.2.1 | 2026-09-11 ~ 2026-09-12 | 12/33 | 36% | 22%~53% |
| Gemini | 1.2.2 | 2026-09-12 ~ 2026-09-15 | 40/70 | 57% | 45%~68% |
| Gemini | 1.2.3 | 2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 | 10/18 | 56% | 34%~75% |
| Gemini | 1.2.4 | 2026-09-16 ~ 2026-09-17 | 9/13 | 69% | 42%~87% |
| Gemini | 1.2.5 | 2026-09-17 ~ 2026-09-18 | 15/22 | 68% | 47%~84% |
| Gemini | 1.2.6 | 2026-09-18 ~ 2026-09-19 | 20/36 | 56% | 40%~70% |
| Gemini | 1.2.7 | 2026-09-19 ~ 2026-09-22 | 38/73 | 52% | 41%~63% |
| Gemini | 1.2.8 | 2026-09-22 ~ 2026-09-23 | 13/21 | 62% | 41%~79% |
| Gemini | 1.2.9 | 2026-09-23 ~ 2026-09-24 | 9/14 | 64% | 39%~84% |
| Gemini | 1.2.10 | 2026-09-24 ~ 2026-09-25 | 11/22 | 50% | 31%~69% |
| Gemini | 1.2.11 | 2026-09-26 ~ 2026-09-27 | 13/27 | 48% | 31%~66% |
| Gemini | 1.2.12 | 2026-09-27 ~ 2026-09-29 | 7/8 | 88% | 53%~98% |
| Gemini | 1.2.13 | 2026-09-29 ~ 2026-09-30 | 3/6 | 50% | 19%~81% |
| Gemini | 1.2.14 | 2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-03 | 7/9 | 78% | 45%~94% |
| Gemini | 1.2.16 | 2026-10-04 ~ 2026-10-05 | 2/6 | 33% | 10%~70% |
| Gemini | 1.2.17 | 2026-10-06 ~ 2026-10-06 | 2/2 | 100% | 34%~100% |
| Gemini | 1.3.0 | 2026-10-07 ~ 2026-10-07 | 3/4 | 75% | 30%~95% |
| Gemini | 1.3.1 | 2026-10-07 ~ 2026-10-09 | 3/5 | 60% | 23%~88% |
| Gemini | 1.3.2 | 2026-10-09 ~ 2026-10-10 | 8/17 | 47% | 26%~69% |
| Gemini | 1.3.3 | 2026-10-10 ~ 2026-10-13 | 14/35 | 40% | 26%~56% |
| Gemini | 1.3.4 | 2026-10-13 ~ 2026-10-14 | 1/4 | 25% | 5%~70% |
| Gemini | 1.3.5 | 2026-10-14 ~ 2026-10-15 | 1/4 | 25% | 5%~70% |
| Gemini | 1.4.0 | 2026-10-16 ~ 2026-10-18 | 23/42 | 55% | 40%~69% |
| Gemini | 1.4.2 | 2026-10-18 ~ 2026-10-19 | 7/11 | 64% | 35%~85% |
| Gemini | 1.4.3 | 2026-10-20 ~ 2026-10-21 | 9/17 | 53% | 31%~74% |
| Gemini | 1.4.4 | 2026-10-21 ~ 2026-10-22 | 2/4 | 50% | 15%~85% |
| Gemini | 1.4.5 | 2026-10-23 ~ 2026-10-23 | 1/1 | 100% | 21%~100% |
| Gemini | 1.4.6 | 2026-10-23 ~ 2026-10-24 | 14/30 | 47% | 30%~64% |
| Gemini | 1.4.7 | 2026-10-24 ~ 2026-10-26 | 36/58 | 62% | 49%~73% |
| Claude | 未紀錄 | 2026-07-27 ~ 2026-08-23 | 271/453 | 60% | 55%~64% |
| Claude | 2.1.218 (Claude Code) | 2026-08-24 ~ 2026-09-01 | 103/190 | 54% | 47%~61% |
| Claude | 2.1.258 (Claude Code) | 2026-09-02 ~ 2026-09-21 | 222/407 | 55% | 50%~59% |
| Claude | 2.1.280 (Claude Code) | 2026-09-23 ~ 2026-10-26 | 188/342 | 55% | 50%~60% |
CLI 或背後模型一換，成績就不是同一個東西。Gemini 於 2026-08-23 從 gemini CLI 改用 Antigravity CLI（模型從 2.5 換成 3.7 Flash），前後不應合併排名。2026-08-24 之前沒有記錄版本，標為「未紀錄」。
每日指紋
| 日期 | 場次 | 當日指紋 | 鏈值 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 8 | 44f805e191455e4f… | e5ae51994220abf4… |
| 2026-10-27 | 13 | 4d6ceb431e8d0ea9… | 57f70c61a41f422c… |
| 2026-10-26 | 18 | 97a8a045d97c14e5… | de084d98df1e3162… |
| 2026-10-25 | 28 | f8a9671f7f0ca4d8… | 9a7ac2a20bae9d2e… |
| 2026-10-24 | 30 | 73d5258e9aabecff… | adcd443df64e3228… |
| 2026-10-23 | 2 | eb7c663f280de2ae… | d26d9f801cce5382… |
| 2026-10-22 | 14 | df03899b9b16d3ba… | 5c0aa70eaed6cd3c… |
| 2026-10-21 | 6 | 811e1d35e8e18712… | 8a86a6333f3aca19… |
| 2026-10-20 | 6 | 965a03e0f64d3f9e… | 20b23565597bc02e… |
| 2026-10-19 | 6 | dc939a4e0aeb9952… | c3b636704b70c44d… |
| 2026-10-18 | 24 | b14dd1d9e3973cf1… | b5239fee6c2354d7… |
| 2026-10-17 | 18 | 1fca76e20374c512… | cc2a0690a554e29b… |
| 2026-10-16 | 2 | 618989222d9071a4… | 01355d7181811ff8… |
| 2026-10-15 | 3 | c0a92d4013e3ec4a… | 4b738e4f3c0b6cbd… |
| 2026-10-14 | 4 | b5d13a21d063baae… | dc11e280f44bfd74… |
| 2026-10-13 | 6 | 2e2a4c3701296061… | c4cc38a772d76a3d… |
| 2026-10-12 | 6 | c605c954a9714b50… | 729cd889e5d6d6b9… |
| 2026-10-11 | 23 | 7bd3ec38ae0d970f… | 5a0784ed6d2be0c2… |
| 2026-10-10 | 19 | 74307f71030bf519… | 5a9afdfe3dc1bfa4… |
| 2026-10-09 | 1 | 4474d78d322523b1… | d9f2c3f98f9f7097… |
| 2026-10-08 | 6 | ad9afca2f45b18ba… | 5b5f47858174439d… |
| 2026-10-07 | 2 | 8fbcc53026609c07… | 1ca186cc99f66cf1… |
| 2026-10-06 | 2 | 6b8c0dfff2473806… | bf2e601c1b6f78bd… |
| 2026-10-05 | 4 | c2efe8fdd3c0013e… | d251f4eb2222832c… |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | 7223e0ce0002eeec… | 0ee5c6aba14b68fa… |
| 2026-10-03 | 1 | 0bef01895136a371… | 549f207d3323eb2b… |
| 2026-10-02 | 2 | bdb31c5fe7e1fcff… | 1417d94a35e54c38… |
| 2026-10-01 | 6 | 847f7fa63929b7e1… | 32c05f1b0484353d… |
| 2026-09-30 | 6 | 9a45e49b88c15142… | c7d5f3f2eda5d02b… |
| 2026-09-28 | 19 | 91cb97ce6dda471c… | a1e199a40989b6a1… |
| 2026-09-27 | 13 | 822f8fa579ae3ae7… | 354d420c91db1919… |
| 2026-09-26 | 17 | 8ba057e678205885… | 8b7335c29257505e… |
| 2026-09-25 | 17 | f0859101efbd2e76… | 0774ba28233134cf… |
| 2026-09-24 | 18 | 9ec88045d600604f… | cdc916e5d6a711db… |
| 2026-09-23 | 21 | 7077aa391b52a057… | 27442e77e5990182… |
| 2026-09-22 | 5 | 656f41deb13c746a… | e9204284a2f96a21… |
| 2026-09-21 | 27 | ccdc5ac53ce54c79… | cb5918d9332b60b1… |
| 2026-09-20 | 41 | 82cb1a3464692a2d… | ed2c8e8846cc55a4… |
| 2026-09-19 | 36 | f9420b626a38a146… | 105a46585c372371… |
| 2026-09-18 | 16 | d83bbbb912c2fbf7… | f4286c536fc88af8… |
| 2026-09-17 | 18 | 0c47dac4a131a23f… | d3b9903bfc1068aa… |
| 2026-09-16 | 18 | dac35cbaa0161ac8… | 71e32928dcc54db3… |
| 2026-09-15 | 15 | 16dab371225a1398… | 57beeeef87e45660… |
| 2026-09-14 | 20 | e319351021660fa8… | 387754eb9c039a25… |
| 2026-09-13 | 35 | f991750dcb4c3481… | 8d95254ce8bb5988… |
| 2026-09-12 | 33 | 8526d5cac5739257… | 68b26623524f29fb… |
| 2026-09-11 | 6 | fc43c7e889bdbc71… | 13df6b54c7b02d2b… |
| 2026-09-10 | 19 | 2ec67ba612c9857e… | 4a3123eca68702d7… |
| 2026-09-09 | 17 | 2e0730ceeec21c3f… | a54f69e762e68f67… |
| 2026-09-08 | 15 | fe723ccc56d75bdb… | 922fec4be4922192… |
| 2026-09-07 | 21 | 8d75b33a43777bdd… | 7fbf5ab01775b9ba… |
| 2026-09-06 | 32 | d35b92b91e5f95b6… | e221cf2b96574bf3… |
| 2026-09-05 | 36 | aedc62548c317c40… | d7d74d0ab9be04dd… |
| 2026-09-04 | 11 | d9b883050ae0d009… | 1483f661d4fc7dc0… |
| 2026-09-03 | 15 | d5297fc482a21837… | 7f7b41a356959ad6… |
| 2026-09-02 | 15 | 760695aa640769e0… | a2e152691c8761fd… |
| 2026-09-01 | 17 | 12266b8f9da6f300… | c96996ca980fd31d… |
| 2026-08-31 | 24 | 67326c20df02c05e… | b437fccc81cf85e5… |
| 2026-08-30 | 40 | 8dd3a33811aa9918… | 80aea18b3eb0baeb… |
| 2026-08-29 | 34 | ffbb587cf28e62aa… | 568a3f09c210459f… |
| 2026-08-28 | 11 | 004f4ddaa2126362… | c550bf4a2bd96173… |
| 2026-08-27 | 18 | 1a32334de15d2067… | a0385cbb0aef55d9… |
| 2026-08-26 | 19 | 4e5cbe243d52f794… | 766de3f4a041d7e4… |
| 2026-08-25 | 12 | 15e6bdbe77765cc9… | 7f5ca13a04ab6033… |
| 2026-08-24 | 19 | 4ce1c652a04b92a6… | 18110aeb6937b772… |
| 2026-08-23 | 18 | 80298bdc0e99e02a… | 9d3e5163891875f1… |
| 2026-08-22 | 18 | 4552847cd19db95e… | 845fa4c93a16df76… |
| 2026-08-21 | 12 | 238750e2e44a5ced… | f5ac83f807d782d0… |
| 2026-08-20 | 17 | 3d0b9f501699017a… | fc803f80fdfef66e… |
| 2026-08-19 | 19 | 8446184464bc0dd0… | f25fb679defcc075… |
| 2026-08-18 | 12 | d0172e648ca97a29… | efcbabebe3ca2967… |
| 2026-08-17 | 18 | c8d6b3a11a91ceb8… | 79d1fed17b0165f0… |
| 2026-08-16 | 18 | 67c3d5eeab6ecd2d… | 0aa782a6473cc4a2… |
| 2026-08-15 | 16 | 6ef6e456ecbb15c7… | 4821852f65cfcd80… |
| 2026-08-14 | 12 | a108de5c4ec92557… | d0ecbd9737b343c7… |
| 2026-08-13 | 18 | bf704be5f8a42b0a… | d89c4484734f1a44… |
| 2026-08-12 | 18 | 3cc611fd18962246… | 0b2206b93882bc02… |
| 2026-08-11 | 12 | e6542e5b474d2f59… | c30a05279ed3a8f5… |
| 2026-08-10 | 19 | 03673b43c89b7c5c… | 9c7f81a4675c8c3b… |
| 2026-08-09 | 18 | 1a5317053b68294d… | 3b92482ff98a095a… |
| 2026-08-08 | 18 | e5b8cbb7f3c0f204… | 38341b7720bceccc… |
| 2026-08-07 | 14 | 81321981e8e589d0… | 0bd6f2035b02f8cb… |
| 2026-08-05 | 16 | 9b37578437821552… | abb9e98bbc17b708… |
| 2026-08-04 | 11 | 1513c46a70a50b6e… | ea96323c5619714e… |
| 2026-08-03 | 19 | 37f6bc5d4fc55386… | 6356de230351d27c… |
| 2026-08-02 | 17 | 1095d3e6de1e9612… | 57ce69049e1a103d… |
| 2026-08-01 | 18 | e2ac5d7834343f92… | a510fe8c9e5046dd… |
| 2026-07-31 | 13 | d8d950f4f5bf5b20… | b970af0b2b4e19c2… |
| 2026-07-30 | 18 | a0698e385ddfe921… | a6c9a45699c49382… |
| 2026-07-29 | 21 | 16e750560b9b886c… | ee50e551049e6cd8… |
| 2026-07-28 | 12 | 94eb95478536ff55… | a765e339fc6c2b53… |
| 2026-07-27 | 14 | acad2589e70c7b23… | d0ea881de3da9f62… |